Published: Fri, October 12, 2018
Global Media | By Garry Long

Michael crawls north, rising threat to Florida

Michael crawls north, rising threat to Florida

The storm was located by 2 a.m. ET Monday about 105 miles (170 kilometers) east-southeast of Cozumel, Mexico, and moving to the north at about 4 mph (6 kph).

Spaghetti models forecast that Tropical Depression 14 will move generally northward during the next 3 days, gradually gaining speed as it enters the southerly flow between high pressure over the western Atlantic and an advancing deep-layer trough over the western half of the United States.

Currently, the forecast cone does include the Big Bend and south Georgia. Right now we are right on the edge of the track, meaning we'll have to watch it.

Meteorologist Adam Klotz discusses timeline, details of tropical storm Michael. It is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm tonight and it would become Michael. Make sure you have a way to continue getting updates, and check to make sure your hurricane kit is fully stocked before the storm arrives.

Michael's maximum sustained winds had reached 70 miles per hour, it said.

"This storm will be life-threatening and extremely unsafe", Scott said.

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Projections show up to a 60 percent chance of tropical storm force winds from Columbus to Macon to Augusta.

A tropical depression that formed Sunday morning is expected to move into the Gulf of Mexico and grow into a hurricane before striking the Florida Panhandle, forecasters say. Michael is moving toward the north at 5.0 miles per hour (7.0 kph), with maximum sustained winds of 60 miles per hour (95 kph) and a minimum central pressure that has fallen to 997 MB or 29.44 inches.

"This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides in areas of mountainous terrain", the NHC said.

Rick Scott on Sunday said he would declare a state of emergency for counties in the Panhandle and the state's Big Bend coastal region.

The Florida panhandle will be hardest hit, with parts of the Tallahassee and Panama City areas getting 12 inches of rainfall along with damaging winds. It was also about 135 miles south-southwest of the western tip of Cuba. "Higher amounts of 2" to locally 3" will be possible across southern Maryland, closer to the center of Michael's path.

Outer bands from Michael are expected to produce up to 4 inches (10 cm) of rain through Tuesday in the Florida Keys, one of several areas in the state devastated by Hurricane Irma a year ago.

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