Published: Thu, July 20, 2017
Global Media | By Garry Long

Majority favors Dems in midterm congressional races

Majority favors Dems in midterm congressional races

In countries that helped give Donald Trump the presidency in 2016, voters support his stances on American jobs and foreign affairs but don't seem to like his personal style, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Although the poll was conducted before the latest blow that effectively caused the collapse of the Senate health care bill, the Republican-controlled Congress had made headlines for the bill's low approval rating and its inability to garner the support of the entire party. That's a challenge for Democrats because their midterm turnout typically is low.

Fifty percent of adults in these counties - consisting of Republicans, Democrats and independents - approve of the president's job performance (including 29 percent who strongly approve), while 46 percent disapprove (including 35 percent who do so strongly).

Moreover, 51 percent of registered voters say Trump won't be a factor in their vote for Congress. For one thing, Americans who strongly disapprove of Trump do not appear to be any more motivated to vote than the average American. By 64 percent to 30 percent, more prefer Democrats as a check against Trump than Republicans who will support Trump's agenda.

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There's also little difference between potential new midterm voters - those who say they'll vote in 2018, but didn't in 2014 - and off-year veterans. In comparison, around 60% voted in the 2016 presidential election and around 61% in the 2012 presidential election.

A 65 percent majority of Republicans, as well as Republican-leaning independent voters, say they certainly plan to vote next year compared to 57 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independent voters. That's about a 17-point gap, three points wider than the margin by which Democratic candidates are now favored in 2018 over Republicans. About two-thirds of each say they are certain to vote in midterm elections, although Republicans who doubt Trump's accomplishments are less likely to support GOP control of Congress to help his agenda.

Note: 75 percent of registered voters did not vote for Trump. The poll had a margin error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

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