Published: Tue, June 20, 2017
U.S. | By Vera Richards

Chance for heavy tropical flooding rain this week

Chance for heavy tropical flooding rain this week

We are going to leave rain chances in the forecast for these days and the greatest coverage of rain and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours.

Much of the extended forecast will depend on the eventual development and track of the disturbance moving into the southern Gulf of Mexico Monday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft was scheduled to investigate this system later Monday, if necessary.

The National Hurricane Center now has the option to issue advisories on disturbances that are not yet tropical cyclones, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 48 hours.

Some strengthening is expected, the hurricane center said, and the system could become Tropical Storm Bret tonight when it is expected to move through the islands. This system remains disorganized, but as it treks west, further development is possible.

Tropical development has been quick to come to center stage this weekend as two separate areas in the Atlantic Basin are holding the potential for development.

A low-pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico could be the first storm to threaten Florida during the 2017 hurricane season. Check out where models track the potential tropical system.

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It's too early to say with any certainty where the center will come ashore. Heavy rain and gusty winds are likely in Trinidad and Tobago and other southeastern Caribbean islands.

Forecasters for days have been expecting an area of low pressure to form over the northwest Caribbean and move into the southern Gulf.

Bottom line with 93-L, South Mississippi should prepare now for the potential for flooding from heavy tropical rains this week.

"It's very rare to see a named tropical system in this area of the Atlantic Ocean", Sovine said.

In NWS terminology, a tropical cyclone refers to a closed, low-level circulation system of clouds and thunderstorms originating over tropical or subtropical water.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40mph (65kmph) with higher gusts.

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